A $9 trillion strategy dumps leveraged ETF after S&P 500's bearish signal
The goal of the $9 trillion strategy is to remain invested in the S&P 500 with low leverage during bull markets while holding cash in weaker market phases. This strategy is one of several systematic, rules-based approaches implemented in the trend-following and momentum portfolio.
Specifically, the strategy follows the simple 200-day moving average (SMA 200). It calls for investing in a leveraged S&P 500 ETF when the market is above the SMA 200 and exiting the position if the moving average is breached. That exact signal was triggered on Thursday based on the closing price.
In the trend-following and momentum portfolio, the leveraged ETF was sold accordingly. The position in the Xtrackers S&P 500 2x Leveraged Daily Swap UCITS ETF 1C (ISIN: LU0411078552) was closed, yielding a 19.71% profit on a trade that had been open since May 2025.
The trend-following and momentum portfolio—originally launched in May 2020 under the name "$9 Trillion Portfolio"—has gained over 197% since inception. This translates to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.6% per year.