Mosaic's Q4 earnings miss sparks 5.3% stock plunge amid revenue growth
The Mosaic Company (MOS) has reported mixed financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025. While net sales rose by 5.6% year-over-year to $2.97 billion, the company’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.22 fell short of analyst expectations. The disappointing figures triggered a 5.3% drop in share price on February 25, the day of the earnings release. MOS faced a challenging quarter, with one-time charges weighing on its performance. These costs contributed to the company missing Wall Street’s forecasts. Despite the revenue growth, analysts now project a sharp decline in diluted EPS for the current year—down 31.3% to $1.56.
The stock has struggled over the past year, losing 24.7% of its value. This underperformance contrasts sharply with the S&P 500 Index, which surged 26.6% in the same period. Even in 2026, MOS shares have continued to lag, dropping nearly 4.7% while the broader market climbed 5.2%.
Analyst sentiment remains cautious. Out of 18 covering the stock, 11 recommend holding, 5 suggest a strong buy, and 2 advise selling. The average price target of $29.62 implies a potential 29% upside from current levels, but investor confidence has yet to recover. Meanwhile, the State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB) has outperformed MOS, rising 19.3% over the past year. MOS now faces pressure to improve profitability after a weak earnings report and persistent share price declines. With analysts forecasting a steep drop in annual EPS, the company’s ability to reverse its underperformance will be closely watched. The gap between its stock movement and broader market gains highlights ongoing investor concerns.
