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Chevron Could Raise Its Dividend Next Month - CVX Stock Looks Too Cheap

Chevron could raise its dividend per share next month, as it has done for the past 38 years. That implies the value of CVX stock could be 15% too cheap, based on its average yield. Shorting out-of-the-money puts also works here.

This is a collage image. In this image we can see the pictures of different kinds of buildings,...
This is a collage image. In this image we can see the pictures of different kinds of buildings, slide, information bards, motor vehicles on the road, name boards, trees and sky on the paper.

Chevron Could Raise Its Dividend Next Month - CVX Stock Looks Too Cheap

Chevron’s stock has drawn attention for its dividend potential and short-term trading opportunities. Analysts suggest the company could raise its dividend by 5% in early 2026. Meanwhile, traders are exploring short-term strategies involving out-of-the-money put options on the stock, which closed at $147.75 on December 19, 2025.

A short-term trading strategy involving shorting OTM puts on Chevron stock offers an immediate monthly yield of around 0.70%. If sustained over a year, this approach could generate an annual return of 8.4852%. The breakeven point for this trade sits at $139.01, roughly 5.92% below the stock’s closing price on December 19, 2025.

The delta ratio for Chevron’s stock stands at -19.39%, implying less than a 20% probability of the share price dropping to $140 within the next 34 days. This metric suggests limited downside risk for short-term put sellers. Looking ahead, Chevron may increase its dividend per share by 5% in January 2026, lifting it from $6.84 to $7.18. Should the dividend yield revert to its five-year average of 4.2168%, the stock price could climb to $170.27—a 15.2% rise from its December 2025 level. Historical dividend projections, based on the five-year average yield, would also tie future payouts directly to the prevailing share price at the time of calculation.

The combination of dividend growth and short-term option strategies presents multiple avenues for investors. A potential 5% dividend hike and a return to average yield levels could push Chevron’s stock toward $170.27. For traders, shorting OTM puts offers a steady income stream with a defined breakeven point below the current share price.

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